၊မြစ်ဆုံရေကာတာအကြောင်း အမှားနဲ့အမှန် – – Myitsone Myths and Truths – LXXX

Ni Ni Win မသိသေးတဲ့ပြည်သူတွေကိုနားလည်အောင်သိအောင်ဆက်လက်ဆောင်ရွက်စေချင်ပါသည်

၊မှန်ပါတယ်၊ဒီလိုဘဲခံယူပြီးရေးနေတာပါဘဲ၊
၊ဖတ်ကြိမ်သိန်း၁၃ဝကျော်ပါပြီ၊
၊မိုးဇလဆရာကြီးဦးထွန်းလွင်ကရခဲ့တဲ့မဲဆန္ဒနှစ်သိန်းကျော်ထက်အတိုင်းထက်အလွန်သာသွားပါပြီ၊
၊လေးသိန်းခုနှစ်သောင်းနီးပါးမဲဆန္ဒရလို့၂.၂၅ဆရှိပါတယ်၊

“Protest” Cartoons

In Facebook’s “Myitsone” dam, comments section, some “dissenters” put up overly many, (6 to 11 insertions), each time, with only the exact same image (see below). It seemed they wanted to inflate their “protest” votes.

၊ကန့်ကွက်မဲမှာဖောင်းပွအောင်၊ပုံတစ်ပုံနှစ်ပုံစီတင်မဲ့ အစား
၆ပုံ၁၁ပုံ၅ဝပုံထိတောင်တင်ခဲ့တယ်၊

One dissenter even inserted 56 exact same cartoon in one sitting.

“Protest” Cartoons

While another one inserted > 50 comments, all with just the same iPhone image, but spread out once or twice daily, for days. Same purpose: To exaggerate the # of  anti Myitsone dam “protestors”  

“LIKES” Cartoons

Pro Myitsone Dam Construction “Likes” (Votes”) Cartoons

Pro Myitsone Dam Construction “Likes” (Votes) Cartoons

Pro Myitsone Dam Construction “Likes” (Votes) Cartoons

In a Separate Facebook Web Page opposing Myitsone Dam construction, Prof U Tun Lwin’ s obtained 208,872 “likes” or votes. Not bad! (See below)

======

However, they are still far below our separate Pro Myitsone dam construction Facebook page’s “Likes” or votes, (see continuation).

NOTE: Not to be outdone, Pro Myitsone Construction’s “Likes” or votes compiled are now 469,092 (above) and growing by leaps and bounds.

Meaning: Enlightened Myanmar people  have spoken (or voted) !!! The above 469092 “Likes” or votes are currently a whopping 2.25 times those of U Tun Lwin’s  208,872 “Likes” or votes.

Isn’t it true that 209,000 “Likes” can be more than enough to beat Prof U Tun Lwin’s “likes” or votes, in a democratic contest for votes? Should you go with the side with the less # of “Likes” or votes in a democracy?

Question: Should democracy be based on people’s previous wants – especially when they were “groggy” with misinformation and hearsay, before?

Or,

Should democracy be based on an enlightened people’s current wants – considering new pertinent facts and research, available worldwide?

Which approach will better serve Myanmar’s long term national interests?

This Facebook Myitsone dam article on Truths and Myths can be considered a popular bestseller, surpassing 13 million hits (or people reached). (13,002,664 below) and growing apace.

Page followers # is > 53 k (53,723).

What can we conclude from the above Facebook “survey” results?

People reached > 13 millions

# of Likes 469,062

# of Comments  16753

> 13 mil means that statistically, it is a fairly large survey sample for the # of people reached. In a sense, it’s carried out unbiasedly by Facebook,  for > two years and 4 months and still ongoing. 

As previously noted, not all comments and cartoons are anti Myitsone construction.  Even then, for simplicity sake, let’s assume that all 16753 comments are anti Myitsone construction.

When you divide pro Myitsone construction “Likes” 469,062 by say anti Myitsone? 16,753, we obtain 27.9987 (about 28.00). This shows that for every dissenter, there are 28 pro Myitsone construction people voting against him or her.

၊ကွန်မှန့်အားလုံး၁၆၇၅၃ကိုကန့်ကွက်သူအဖြစ်ထားအုံးတော့၊
၊ကြိုက်၄၆၉၀၉၂ ၊မဲဆန္ဒရထားတော့၊ထောက်ခံမဲက၂၈ဆလောက်နဲ့
အပြတ်အသတ်နိုင်နေပါတယ်၊၉၆%ကျော်ကမြစ်ဆုံကိုဆက်လုပ်ဖို့ပါ၊

Put it in another way, 96.6 % vs 3.4 %. A landslide vote for the Myitsone Dam construction to continue. 

If we consider the commenters who are for Myitsone Continuation and the inflated protests by anti dam commenters (unlike the blanket assumption), you can imagine an even larger landslide victory. 

BTW, Prof U Tun Lwin, Golden Pen Awardee Dr Than Htut Aung, U Win Myo Thu, …assertions, were all factually disproven as incorrect.

၊မှတ်ချက်၊ဒေသခံတွေကိုသင့်လျော်တဲ့ခွဲဝေမှု၊ဖွံ့ဖြိုးရင်းနှီးမှုစဉ်းစားညှိယူပေးဖို့လိုအပ်ပါတယ်၊